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GioModel
Launch Portfolio
MODEL 2 · STEP 1

Define
the target.

Freeze one answerable question about HOOD before choosing features: will its raw closing price be higher five completed trading sessions later?

MARKET CONTEXT · OUTSIDE MODEL FREEZEHOOD

These readings update independently. They are not model inputs, deployment evidence, or a trading recommendation.

Latest price
$122.11
· fallback
20D momentum
+30.9%
Close-to-close · 20 completed sessions
RSI 14
65.9
neutral · Wilder method
Relative volume
1.2×
Versus the prior 20 completed sessions

TECHNICALS THROUGH · TIMESTAMPED FALLBACK

THE QUESTION

Will HOOD close higher five trading sessions from now?

At each completed regular-session close, Model 2 estimates whether HOOD's raw closing price five completed sessions later is above today's raw close. A tie belongs to class 0.

TARGET SPECIFICATIONhood_direction_5d_v1
FROZEN / V1
yₜ =1

if raw HOOD close at t + 5 is greater than raw close at t

yₜ =0

otherwise, including a tie

AssetHOOD
Decision timeAfter completed close
Horizon5 trading sessions
Primary scoreBrier improvement
PRIMARY OUTCOME

Raw-close direction.

The label is deliberately narrow and reproducible. It says nothing about trade size, transaction costs, risk, or the size of a move.

SECONDARY DIAGNOSTIC

Relative return context.

A separate diagnostic compares HOOD with a 40% QQQ, 30% XLF, and 30% COIN blend. It never replaces the frozen raw-close target.

FROZEN CLOCK

The dataset ends on 29 July 2026. Information released after that completed close is outside the model and the simulation.

PRIMARY SOURCES

Alpaca consolidated stock bars · Alpaca US crypto bars · Alpaca corporate-action announcements · Robinhood SEC filings · Robinhood investor relations. The Excel file preserves the source ledger and frozen outputs.

NEXTStep 2 · Source the data

Continue through the frozen Model 2 workflow.